CONNECTICUT HUSKIES (19-2)
2012-02-01

Tip-off: Wednesday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Georgetown -3, Total: 130
No. 14 Georgetown looks to add to Connecticut’s misery as it tries to hand the Huskies a fourth straight loss (SU and ATS) on Wednesday night.
Both schools have been terrible bets lately, as Connecticut is 2-7-1 ATS in its past 10 games while the Hoyas are 1-7 ATS in their past eight contests. But UConn has dominated this series, going 10-4 (SU and ATS) against Georgetown since 2000. Half of the Hoyas Big East wins have been by three points or less, and they don't score enough points (64.0 PPG in past eight games) to make this a blowout. They are also 8-20 ATS (29%) in Big East play over the past two seasons. The Huskies lost their past three games by a combined eight points and are now at full strength with talented guard Ryan Boatright back on the court after NCAA eligibility issues. The pick here is underdog CONNECTICUT to escape with the win.
Connecticut’s 2-5 SU mark in its past seven games has mostly to do with an inefficient offense that has failed to reach 70 points in any of these contests. In the past two games, UConn has scored a mere 52.5 PPG on 38% FG. The biggest cause for the offensive woes lies with starting point guard Shabazz Napier, who has shot a woeful 32% FG with 22 turnovers during these seven games. He was 0-for-7 against Notre Dame on Sunday, taking two ill-advised three-point attempts in the final minute of that 50-48 defeat. Jeremy Lamb leads the team with 17.9 PPG, but only took nine shots in the loss to the Irish. Some of that was due to Notre Dame milking the shot clock on offense, but Lamb did have a few good looks that he passed up. Freshman center Andre Drummond (10.0 PPG, 7.8 APG) is also key to this team, as he has scored 15.3 PPG with 11.7 RPG in his team’s past three victories, but only 7.8 PPG and 8.6 RPG in its past five defeats.
Like UConn, Georgetown has also been ice-cold in the past two games, shooting 36.7% from the floor. After tallying 31 points (11-of-14 FG) three games ago, leading scorer Jason Clark (15.6 PPG) has attempted just 13 shots in these past two games. This will need to change on Wednesday, especially considering Clark averaged 18.0 PPG on 59% FG against UConn last year. The team’s No. 2 scorer, Hollis Thompson, has not been aggressive enough in taking the ball to the basket. After attempting 10 free throws against West Virginia, Thompson has earned a total of eight free-throw attempts in his past five games combined. To combat Drummond in the paint, Georgetown will look to leading rebounder, freshman Otto Porter (6.9 RPG). Porter has 8.8 RPG in his past four games.
This will be the most exciting game on Friday, GUARNTEED. We like to call it Friday Madness!
The tenth seed Yellow Jackets of Georgia Tech will be meeting seventh seed Oklahoma State Cowboys at Bradley Center, Milwaukee, WI 7:15pm eastern time.
Will President Obama’s pick of the Yellow Jackets help them? We’ll see, but the Cowboys are the slight favorite at -1.5 points (www.sportsbook.com), so pretty much this game will be a tossup. And that’s why 7 - 10 games are the toughest to handicap.
The Jackets will face a team very different than themselves in their NCAA opener, which is the way of most 7 versus 10 games in the tournament. Neither side enters off a dominating season, but each does something well enough to make it very dangerous. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets pound the ball inside. The Oklahoma State Cowboys rain threes from everywhere; they’ve taken 205 more three-pointers than has Georgia Tech.
Oklahoma State's James Anderson and Obi Muonelo are one of the best guard combos in the country, guys who can score from just about anywhere on the floor. Georgia Tech counters inside with freshman rising stars Derrick Favors and Gani Lawal, bruisers who can outmuscle anyone who gets in their way.
Only one of Oklahoma State Cowboys' starters - Matt Pilgrim - is taller than 6 foot 6, and Keiton Page is just 5 - 9. Compare that to the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, who bring Favors (6 - 10, 246 pounds) and Lawal (6 - 9, 234), and whose shortest starter is 6 - 5. However, the Oklahoma State Cowboys have proven they are quite capable of handling the big boys. They handed the Kansas Jayhawks one of its two losses this year, and also beat Kansas State and Baylor, all who have very good big men.
According to Georgia Tech head coach Paul Hewitt, the game likely will come down to how well the Yellow Jackets can defend Big 12 player of the year and Oklahoma State scoring leader James Anderson and his hot shooting teammates at guard, Keiton Page and Obi Muonelo.
Georgia Tech guard D'Andre Bell said, after being asked Thursday afternoon about Oklahoma State's free shooting ability. "It works for them. The type of 3’s that they take. They take contested 3’s, in transition 3’s, whether there are hands in their faces or not, it goes in for them." Ranking 15th nationally in three point attempts and first overall in the Big 12, the Cowboys have proven this season that from long range, they can be deadly, knocking down a big shot with ease.
I would pay close attention to the halftime score of this game because Georgia Tech is just 3 - 9 this year when trailing at the half. Also, when the Yellow Jackets trail with five minutes left, they are 1-9. The winner of this game faces the Ohio State or UC Santa Barbara winner on Sunday.